The board of Saputo Inc. (TSE:SAP) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of June, with investors receiving CA$0.185 per share.
Saputo and Fonterra open around $8
Picture: AP Photo/The Canadian Press, Ryan Remiorz Photo by AP Photo/The Canadian Press

The board of Saputo Inc. (TSE:SAP) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of June, with investors receiving CA$0.185 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 2.5% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Saputo

Saputo’s Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We aren’t too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 118% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 58%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate that the payout ratio could reach 38%, which is in a comfortable range for us.

historic-dividend
historic-dividend

Saputo Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CA$0.46, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.74. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.9% a year over that time. Dividends have grown relatively slowly, which is not great, but some investors may value the relative consistency of the dividend.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company’s stock based on its dividend history. Let’s not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Saputo’s EPS has fallen by approximately 20% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. It’s not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months – we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

In Summary

Overall, it’s nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don’t necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we’ve identified 4 warning signs for Saputo that you should be aware of before investing. Is Saputo not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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