dairy farmer pours milkWith a powerful combination of providing comfort and promoting good health, milk and dairy products will be found in the middle of all these changes. With its marvellous fusion between animal and vegetable, and given its unparalleled natural integrity and voice, milk always finds a way into recipes and beverages for many diets. What’s more, as has been demonstrated several times in health research, a sedentary lifestyle will get people to consume more dairy products, eventually. With most restaurants closed, overall demand for milk is down, so numbers are not encouraging for now. But sales will come back, with consumers giving more space to dairy at home. With ‘staycations’ being more popular over the next little while, dairy consumption at home will also push sales in the food service industry over time.
Furthermore, coming out of COVID-19, dairy farmers will likely have more direct access to consumers. According to a recent poll, 22 percent of Canadians intend to shop online more often after the crisis. COVID-19 could literally democratise the supply chain. Once online buying for food purchases exists in consumers’ minds, anything is possible. We are already seeing groups of farmers engaging with consumers online due to a void created by grocers who find themselves overwhelmed by demand. And farmers will charge a premium, because they can.
Obviously, the virus has created havoc in our daily lives, but perhaps COVID-19 is exactly what the dairy industry needed. Sustainability, plant-based protein and all other spending trends we saw in food before COVID-19 will eventually bounce back. Their return, though, will be linked directly to economic health and consumer confidence, and that may take a while – long enough for dairy to play a much larger role in our daily lives.
About the author
Dr Sylvain Charlebois is a professor in food distribution and policy in the Faculties of Management and Agriculture at Dalhousie University in Halifax, Canada. He is also the Senior Director of the Agri-food Analytics Lab, also located at Dalhousie University. His current research interest lies in the areas of food distribution, security and safety.