A US dairy heifer shortage builds the case for retaining older, more productive cows to improve dairy farm profitability.
Dairy Heifer Shortage Fuels Case for Older Cows
dairy heifers(Maureen Hanson)

Dairies Extend Longevity as Replacement Costs Soar.

A significant dairy heifer shortage in the U.S. is prompting a strategic shift in dairy farm management, building a compelling case for retaining older cows for longer periods. With the U.S. dairy heifer population over 500 pounds at its lowest since 1978, estimated at just 3.914 million head by the USDA in early 2025, the scarcity is driving up prices for replacement heifers. This trend has Holstein springers reaching record values of $4,000 per head or more, making affordable herd expansion a significant challenge for dairy producers.

Despite the scarcity of heifers, the overall U.S. dairy herd size actually increased by approximately 114,000 head in the past year, reaching 9.410 million. Furthermore, milk production in May 2025 saw a healthy 1.56% year-over-year increase. This growth, in the face of fewer young replacements, strongly indicates that dairy farmers are successfully keeping older, higher-parity cows in their milking strings for extended periods, a crucial adaptation in current dairy economics.

Veterinarian Ryan Leiterman of Crystal Creek Natural LLC advocates for this embrace of older cows, highlighting their often superior productivity. He points out that cows typically reach their peak milk production in their third or fourth lactation, significantly out-producing first-calf heifers. Beyond productivity, older cows are generally easier to milk and manage due to their established routines and experience, contributing to overall farm efficiency.

While retaining older cows can present challenges such as increased susceptibility to conditions like ketosis, milk fever, mastitis, lameness, and reduced reproductive efficiency, Leiterman emphasizes that these issues can be mitigated through diligent nutrition and management practices. By extending the productive life of older cows, dairies can amortize the substantial cost of rearing replacement heifers over more years, potentially reducing the need for new purchases.

This strategy also opens up opportunities for dairy farmers to capitalize on beef-cross calf sales or to sell excess heifers for profit, further enhancing farm profitability. For the international dairy community, agribusiness analysts, and dairy producers grappling with rising replacement costs, this focus on cow longevity provides a vital lesson. It underscores that good cow longevity is not just a management choice but a critical factor for long-term financial success in modern dairy farming.

Source: Dairy Herd Management: Dairy Heifer Shortage Builds the Case for Older Cows

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