A new PwC report signals a significant surge in M&A activity for New Zealand's agribusiness sector, with big deals expected for Fonterra and a2 Milk.
M&A Surge Coming for Fonterra, A2 Milk, and Alliance
Mergers and acquisition activity has been largely flat but experts are picking that is about to change. (Image: BusinessDesk)

PwC Report Signals a Wave of Mergers and Acquisitions for New Zealand’s Agribusiness Players.

A significant wave of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is anticipated in the latter half of 2025, with major New Zealand companies like Fonterra, a2 Milk, and Alliance Group at the forefront. A recent PwC report revealed that while overall deal activity for the second quarter was largely flat year-over-year, it saw a 19% increase compared to the previous quarter. This suggests a market building momentum, driven by a noticeable uptick in private equity (PE) activity that is expected to become even more pronounced in the coming months.

According to PwC partner Regan Hoult, private equity firms have a growing backlog of portfolio companies, creating pressure to return capital to investors. This has resulted in a more active behind-the-scenes deal environment, with several PE-backed transactions poised to come to market in the second half of the year. This shift signals a strategic move by investors to capitalize on new opportunities and could be a key driver for activity in the agribusiness sector and beyond.

For the international dairy community, the report offers critical insights into the future moves of key players. It confirms that the process for Fonterra to spin off its consumer business is ongoing. Additionally, it states that a2 Milk’s highly anticipated acquisition of manufacturing capacity is still expected to move forward. These potential deals are being closely watched by analysts, as they have the potential to reshape the market landscape and influence dairy economics in the region.

The New Zealand market continues to attract strong international interest, with overseas buyers accounting for 49% of deals in the quarter. However, the majority of transactions were executed by New Zealand buyers, followed by Australia and the United States, highlighting the blend of domestic and foreign investment. The report also notes the strength of the nation’s intellectual property and innovative consumer products, which continue to be recognized and valued globally, providing a strong foundation for future transactions.

Despite persistent geopolitical headwinds, including the US President’s tariff regime, deal volume for the first half of 2025 remained impressively stable, with 79 deals completed compared to 74 in the same period of 2024. This resilience in the face of market challenges, coupled with the clear signals of future M&A activity, suggests a dynamic and robust market. This trend positions New Zealand’s agribusiness sector for a busy end to the year as companies and investors seek to execute strategic asset sales and acquisitions.

Source: BusinessDesk: Fletcher, Alliance, Spark, Fonterra, a2 Milk: a harbinger of M&A activity in 2025

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